Match Info

J3 League - Round 33

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Hanazono Rugby Stadium (Higashiosaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Osaka		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.27	3.15	3.47
	1.95	3.36	3.74	Watch
	2.14	3.05	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.95)	3.15 ↓ (3.36)	3.5 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osaka
43.8%

Draw
29.6%

Tochigi
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27.6%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Osaka - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tochigi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tochigi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tochigi (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Osaka (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 2 - 40%). Tochigi (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yamamoto T. (G) 13. Mima K. 3. Kawakami R. 23. Akiyama T. 16. Hashimoto R. 27. Sawazaki R. 8. Haga A. 19. Masuda S. 10. Kubo R. 51. Nishimura M. 11. Tone R.	1. Kawata S. (G) 3. Omori H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 25. Iwasaki H. 22. Takahashi H. 77. Fujiwara K. 11. Aoshima T. 18. Kawana R. 81. Nakano K. 7. Tanahashi A. 32. Ota R.
Substitutes
7. Kitsui T. 5. Minakuchi Y. 41. Nose R. 24. Sato R. 9. Shimada T. 31. Sugawara H. (G) 6. Tachino S. 25. Takei S. 37. Tsutsumi S.	8. Fukumori K. 10. Igarashi T. 37. Kimura Y. 5. Mori R. 80. Otabor K. 4. Sato S. 9. Sugawara R. 27. Tanno K. (G) 29. Yano K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Ota R. ⚽, Hiramatsu W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kubo R. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
46', Haga A. ↓, Takei S. ↑,
62', Sawazaki R. 🟨,
74', Kawana R. ↓, Fukumori K. ↑,
74', Tone R. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
74', Masuda S. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
82', Tanahashi A. ↓, Igarashi T. ↑,
82', Nakano K. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
88', Hashimoto R. ↓, Tachino S. ↑,
90+1', Ota R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Osaka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Tochigi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Tochigi - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 24.81%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
19.10.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Osaka	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Osaka - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gainare Tottori - Osaka	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Nara Club - Osaka	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Osaka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWTL
- Tochigi SC
Japan J3 League
19.10.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Tochigi - Fukushima United	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Tochigi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Tochigi - Ryūkyū	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
16.03.25	Tochigi - Osaka	1:0

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