Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico do Para (Mangueirao) (Belem)

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Paysandu		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.86
	3.95	3.35	1.88	Watch
	4.09	3.37	1.98
	3.77	3.45	1.88
	3.7	3.2	1.95
	3.9	3.44	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.11)	3.35 ↑ (3.33)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
23.7%

Draw
27.7%

Vasco da Gama
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

27.5%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

27.3%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Paysandu - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Paysandu (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 2. Edilson 15. Castro 14. Bruno Bispo 31. Bonifazi F. 39. Pedro Henrique 94. Kaua Hinkel 8. Caio Mello 10. Marcinho (C) 75. Kleiton Pego 9. Italo Carvalho	1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. 4. Saldivia A. 30. Robert Renan 66. Cuiabano 88. Cauan Barros 23. Thiago Mendes (C) 3. Tche Tche 10. Rojas J. 11. Andres Gomez 77. Spinelli C.
Substitutes
23. Brian Macapa 5. Henrico 17. Henrique Salomoni 1. Jean Drosny (G) 98. Juninho 4. larley Brito 99. Lucas Cardoso 77. Luciano 20. Matheus Capixaba 3. Quintana Y. 30. Thalyson 25. Tiago Indio	28. Adson 20. Brenner 46. Cuesta C. 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 18. Hinestroza M. 25. Hugo Moura 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 9. Matheus Franca 17. Moreira N. 96. Paulo Henrique
Coaches
Junior Rocha	Renato Gaucho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Andres Gomez (A),
58', Italo Carvalho ↓, Juninho ↑,
58', Kaua Hinkel ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Spinelli C. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
64', Kleiton Pego ↓, Thalyson ↑,
64', Pedro Henrique ↓, Brian Macapa ↑,
70', Tche Tche ↓, Adson ↑,
70', Spinelli C. ↓, Brenner ↑,
70', Rojas J. ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
70', Brian Macapa ↓, Henrico ↑,
79', Andres Gomez ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
79', Thiago Mendes ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
87', Henrico 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Vasco is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.15%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
18.04.26	Paysandu - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
15.04.26	Paysandu - Independência	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Paysandu - Brusque	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
09.04.26	Nacional AM - Paysandu	7:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.04.26	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTLW
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
18.04.26	Vasco da Gama - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.04.26	Remo - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Barracas Central - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
04.10.16	Paysandu - Vasco da Gama	3:1
18.06.16	Vasco da Gama - Paysandu	0:2

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