Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Armando Dely Valdes (Colón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Árabe Unido		Potros del Este

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.4
	1.95	2.95	4
	2	2.98	4.34	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.3
	1.89	2.93	4.39	Watch
	1.95	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.7)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	4.24 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Árabe Unido
48.3%

Draw
30.1%

Potros del Este
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

27.6%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

26.8%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Árabe Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Árabe Unido's form might have worsened.

Potros del Este has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Árabe Unido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potros del Este than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Árabe Unido - Potros del Este Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Polo R. (G) 3. Fori D. (C) 25. D'Angelo J. 2. Herbert A. 11. Palacios A. 14. Triana L. 23. Arroyo A. 16. Villarreal O. 20. Cecena J. 29. Cordoba F. 30. Murillo S.	1. Rivas L. (G) 2. Garcia J. 6. Holness A. 5. Hernandez I. 8. Berguido R. 14. Ford R. 17. Simmons V. 32. Marmolejo M. 99. Gallardo J. 9. Yau M. 16. Barrera J.
Substitutes
6. Breary M. 7. Corpas A. 5. Dickens J. 24. Emanuel R. 19. Harrison J. 18. Hurtado Y. 9. Moreno S. 28. Rouse G. 26. Vargas D. 12. Vargas J. (G)	23. Galvez A. 20. McKenzie A. 11. Perez R. 52. Rivera O. 12. Sanchez M. (G) 21. Williams J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Cordoba F. ⚽,
20', Cordoba F. 🟨,
28', Arroyo A. 🟨,
33', Simmons V. 🟨,
38', D'Angelo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', D'Angelo J. ↓, Dickens J. ↑,
59', Villarreal O. 🟨,
59', 🟨,
59', Simmons V. 🟨,
63', Cordoba F. ↓, Rouse G. ↑,
66', Ford R. ↓, Galvez A. ↑,
66', Yau M. ↓, McKenzie A. ↑,
68', Herbert A. 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽,
76', Murillo S. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
76', Holness A. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
76', Arroyo A. ↓, Breary M. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Palacios A. ⚽,
82', Triana L. ↓, Hurtado Y. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Árabe Unido won 1.

Recent matches Árabe Unido is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Potros del Este is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Potros del Este could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Árabe Unido is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Árabe Unido won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:18 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Árabe Unido won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Árabe Unido
Liga Panamena de Futbol
29.03.25	Árabe Unido - Independiente de la Chorrera	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Árabe Unido - San Francisco	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Veraguas - Árabe Unido	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	UMECIT - Árabe Unido	0:1 ✺
27.02.25	Árabe Unido - Herrera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWWT
- Potros del Este
Liga Panamena de Futbol
31.03.25	Potros del Este - Deportivo Universitario	1:3 ✺
21.03.25	Veraguas - Potros del Este	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Herrera - Potros del Este	0:1 ✺
10.03.25	Potros del Este - San Francisco	0:1 ✺
27.02.25	UMECIT - Potros del Este	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
15.02.25	Potros del Este - Árabe Unido	1:1
26.10.24	Árabe Unido - Potros del Este	1:1
11.08.24	Potros del Este - Árabe Unido	0:2
13.04.24	Potros del Este - Árabe Unido	4:2
04.02.24	Árabe Unido - Potros del Este	0:1
18.10.23	Árabe Unido - Potros del Este	1:1
06.08.23	Potros del Este - Árabe Unido	1:1

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