Match Info

Date: 16 March 2022, Wednesday


	Íbis		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	9	4.2	1.32
	7	4.25	1.3
	6.6	4.3	1.38
	8.9	4.14	1.32
	8	4.2	1.35
	7	4.33	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.75 ↑ (7.25)	4.24 ↓ (4.74)	1.35 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Íbis
11.6%

Draw
21.3%

Sport Recife
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

19.1%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

18.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Íbis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Íbis than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Íbis - Sport Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Campeonato Pernambucano (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Íbis is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sport Recife is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Íbis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sport Recife have a series of guest games.

In this match Sport Recife is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Íbis SC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
09.03.22	Retrô Brasil - Íbis	1:0 ✺
02.03.22	Vera Cruz - Íbis	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Íbis - Sete de Setembro	0:1 ✺
16.02.22	Caruaru City - Íbis	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Íbis - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLT
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
12.03.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
08.03.22	Salgueiro - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.22	Bahia - Sport Recife	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.03.22	Altos - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
27.02.22	Altos - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWLT

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