Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 37

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Bahia		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	1.19	6.5	12	Watch
	1.19	6.9	12.5
	1.23	7.44	13.1
	1.21	6.92	12.37	Watch
	1.2	6.5	11
	1.23	6.68	12.5	Watch
	1.22	6.66	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.26)	6.8 ↑ (5.89)	12.21 ↑ (10.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
78.3%

Draw
13.9%

Sport Recife
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

16%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Bahia - Sport Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Bahia (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Ronaldo Strada (G) 13. Gerald 4. Kanu 21. Ramos S. 46. Luciano Juba 26. Nicolas Acevedo 11. Rodrigo 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 7. Ademir 12. Willian Jose 16. Erick Pulga	22. Caique Franca (G) 13. Aderlan 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 16. Igor Carius 36. Luan Candido 21. Lucas Kal 14. Rivera C. 54. Gomes do Nascimento A. 10. Lucas Lima 17. Matheusinho 11. Romarinho
Substitutes
19. Caio Alexandre 8. Cauly 1. Danilo Fernandes (G) 14. Erick 3. Gabriel Xavier 2. Gilberto 25. Iago Borduchi 37. Kayky 44. Luiz Gustavo 5. Rezende 52. Ruan Pablo 77. Tiago	42. Adriano Sousa (G) 20. Atencio R. 30. Chrystian Barletta 32. Hereda 33. Matheus Alexandre 27. Oliveira S. 7. Paciencia G. 28. Pedro Augusto 9. Ramirez I. 40. Ramon Menezes 6. Silva J.
Coaches
Mucke R.	Lucena C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Lucas Lima 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Rodrigo ⚽, Ademir (A),
45+6', Willian Jose (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomes do Nascimento A. ↓, Pedro Augusto ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Luciano Juba ⚽, Everton Ribeiro (A),
61', Rivera C. 🟨,
64', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
64', Erick Pulga ↓, Tiago ↑,
68', Matheusinho ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
75', Willian Jose ↓, Ruan Pablo ↑,
75', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Cauly ↑,
75', Rodrigo ↓, Erick ↑,
75', Aderlan ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
76', Igor Carius ↓, Ramon Menezes ↑,
80', Lucas Lima ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
85', Ramos S. 🟨,
89', Luan Candido 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.

Recent performances by Bahia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Recife has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bahia is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Bahia: David Duarte (Injury) Jean Lucas (Yellow Cards) Ruan Pablo (International duty) Sanabria M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Derik Lacerda (Inactive) Hereda (Health problems) Pedro Augusto (Hip Injury) Ze Lucas (International duty) Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bahia: Michel Araujo (Inactive)

There are questionable in Recife: Hyoran (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
28.11.25	Juventude - Bahia	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
20.11.25	Bahia - Fortaleza	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Internacional RS - Bahia	2:2 ✺
05.11.25	Atlético Mineiro - Bahia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLTL
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A
28.11.25	Santos - Sport Recife	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador	1:3 ✺
18.11.25	Botafogo RJ - Sport Recife	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	Sport Recife - Flamengo	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Sport Recife - Atlético Mineiro	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
02.08.25	Sport Recife - Bahia	0:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.24	Bahia - Sport Recife	2:1
22.02.23	Sport Recife - Bahia	6:0
Brazilian Serie B
12.09.22	Sport Recife - Bahia	1:0
08.06.22	Bahia - Sport Recife	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.22	Bahia - Sport Recife	2:3
Brazilian Serie A
18.11.21	Sport Recife - Bahia	1:0

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