Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 14

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	GAIS		Gefle

	1	X	2
	1.17	7	11	Watch
	1.18	6.75	12.5
	1.18	6.75	13
	1.18	7.42	13.87
	1.12	6.5	12	Watch
	1.16	6.95	14.5	Watch
	1.17	6.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.37)	6.85 ↑ (4.73)	12.7 ↑ (7.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GAIS
79.2%

Draw
13.5%

Gefle
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

19.8%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19.1%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GAIS's performance.

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GAIS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

GAIS - Gefle Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. GAIS will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Gefle will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krasniqi M. (G) 6. Wangberg A. 12. Frej R. 22. Cardaklija A. 5. Andersen N. (C) 9. Lundgren G. 7. Aberg J. 25. Lindberg J. 19. Friday R. 11. Lindberg J. 10. Celik M.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 21. Eriksson N. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 5. Hakansson N. 19. Aspgren C. 44. Ranera I. 6. Lundin O. . 14. Friman S. P. 12. Edqvist A. 11. Englund L. 18. Capotondi C.
Substitutes
8. Alexandersson V. 2. Binaku E. 20. Chika C. 21. Henriksson A. 18. Holmstrom A. 33. Krantz E. (G) 4. Noren A.	4. Ekman P. 9. Hjelte J. 27. Johansson T. (G) 23. Karlsson O. 8. Lundin A. 16. Persson K. 37. Rafael T.
Coaches
Holmberg F.	Bengtsson M.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches GAIS won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

GAIS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gefle have a series of home games.

In this match GAIS is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches GAIS won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams GAIS won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GAIS
Swedish Superettan
09.07.23	Skövde AIK - GAIS	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	GAIS - Örebro	4:0 ✺
06.06.23	Sundsvall - GAIS	0:3 ✺
01.06.23	GAIS - Örgryte	0:1 ✺
26.05.23	AFC Eskilstuna - GAIS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLT
- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
08.07.23	Gefle - AFC Eskilstuna	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.23	Gefle - Brage	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
10.06.23	Gefle - Öster	3:2 ✺
04.06.23	Örebro - Gefle	2:0 ✺
31.05.23	Gefle - Sundsvall	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
08.10.18	Gefle - GAIS	1:0
27.04.18	GAIS - Gefle	0:0
29.07.17	Gefle - GAIS	2:1
23.05.17	GAIS - Gefle	1:0
Svenska Cupen
09.03.14	Gefle - GAIS	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.11.12	GAIS - Gefle	2:3
08.07.12	Gefle - GAIS	0:0

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