Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday


	Ørn-Horten		Moss

	1	X	2
	3.85	4	1.7
	3.75	3.95	1.7
	4.2	4.21	1.7
	4	3.75	1.67
	4.2	4	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.56)	3.98 ↓ (4.2)	1.68 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
22.8%

Draw
22.9%

Moss
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

21.6%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

21%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Ørn Horten - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ørn-Horten will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Moss will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Ørn-Horten is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Moss is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Moss is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ørn-Horten won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Ørn-Horten won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.08.22	Arendal - Ørn-Horten	3:2 ✺
16.07.22	Notodden - Ørn-Horten	2:0 ✺
09.07.22	Ørn-Horten - Flekkerøy	1:5 ✺
03.07.22	Sotra - Ørn-Horten	4:2 ✺
25.06.22	Ørn-Horten - Arendal	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLLW
- Moss FK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.08.22	Moss - Notodden	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Kvik Halden - Moss	1:0 ✺
10.07.22	Moss - Sotra	2:0 ✺
03.07.22	Staal Jørpeland - Moss	1:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
29.06.22	Moss - Start	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
16.05.22	Moss - Ørn-Horten	1:0
Club Friendly
05.03.22	Moss - Ørn-Horten	3:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
10.09.16	Ørn-Horten - Moss	1:4
22.05.16	Moss - Ørn-Horten	4:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
17.10.15	Moss - Ørn-Horten	7:1

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