Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Yevlakh City Stadium (Yevlakh)

Referee: Aliyev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Karvan		Shamakhi

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.15	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.35	1.88
	3.69	3.25	1.97	Watch
	4	3	1.85
	4.03	3.14	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.86)	3.18 ↑ (3.13)	1.88 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karvan
23.1%

Draw
28.6%

Shamakhi
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

28.9%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

28.4%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Karvan aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Karvan - Shamakhi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karvan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Shamakhi will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamakhi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Goncalves Mateus P. L. (G) 6. Abdullayev V. (C) 21. Barker I. 14. Cahangirov U. 8. Kings P. 13. Masimov V. 20. Mickels J. 16. Rustamli R. 5. Rustamov E. 2. Sno S. 33. Turabov E.	62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 82. Abbasov R. 7. Adilkhanov E. 5. Agcabayov A. (C) 13. Apolinario R. 4. Cezar 44. David Santos 97. Mammadov O. 9. Rossi K. 10. Tircoveanu A. 3. Veremeev V.
Substitutes
17. Abdullayev S. 25. Bulud A. (G) 4. Doyeni O. 10. Durrant S. 1. Ibrahimov K. (G) 37. Ngwisani M. 11. Spence K. C. 19. Thompson G.	88. Fernandes R. 14. Gafarov R. 99. Hashimov S. (G) 21. Ismayilov B. 80. Ismayilov H. 17. Maharramli R. 77. Mehraliyev N. 8. Msanga A. 2. Rzayev A. 19. Shuaibu A. 27. Suleymanov E.
Coaches
Mammadov F.	Abbasov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽,
39', Cahangirov U. ↓, Spence K. C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Veremeev V. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
49', Apolinario R. 🟨,
60', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Msanga A. ↑,
71', Kings P. ↓, Thompson G. ↑,
72', Masimov V. ↓, Ngwisani M. ↑,
73', Apolinario R. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
81', Mickels J. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
81', Spence K. C. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
84', Rustamov E. 🟨,
87', Agcabayov A. ↓, Mehraliyev N. ↑,
87', Mammadov O. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
88', Tircoveanu A. 🟨,
90+1', Turabov E. 🟨,

Preview

Karvan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shamakhi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Karvan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shamakhi is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Karvan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 1:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:4.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Shamakhi	6	2	3	1	8:6	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
10.04.26	Karvan - Kapaz	4:1 ✺
06.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Karvan	7:0 ✺
19.03.26	Karvan - Zira	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Karvan	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Karvan - Sumgayit	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLT
- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.04.26	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Zira - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Shamakhi - İmişli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
07.12.25	Karvan - Shamakhi	0:3
14.09.25	Shamakhi - Karvan	3:0
Azerbaijan First Division
07.03.24	Karvan - Shamakhi	0:6
24.11.23	Shamakhi - Karvan	2:4

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