Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 18

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Baku Sporting		İmişli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.6	3	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.27
	2.75	2.88	2.5
	2.85	3.13	2.34
	2.05	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (1.84)	3.26 ↑ (3.07)	2.62 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baku Sporting
37%

Draw
28.1%

İmişli
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

29.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

29.2%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baku Sporting's form might have worsened.

İmişli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İmişli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baku Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İmişli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Baku Sporting - İmişli Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. İmişli will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for İmişli: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Faracov S. (Pen),
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 1 - 2, Faracov S. (Pen),
90+16', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 and 3).

Sporting is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches İmişli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baku Sporting
Azerbaijan First Division
06.03.25	Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting	0:1 ✺
27.02.25	Baku Sporting - Cəbrayıl	1:0 ✺
20.02.25	Baku Sporting - Mingachevir	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Baku Sporting - Qaradağ Lökbatan	3:2 ✺
07.02.25	Baku Sporting - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWT
- İmişli FK
Azerbaijan First Division
07.03.25	İmişli - Mingachevir	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - İmişli	0:1 ✺
19.02.25	İmişli - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
13.02.25	İmişli - Gabala	1:2 ✺
06.02.25	İmişli - Karvan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW

Baku Sporting - İmişli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide