Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Gabala City Stadium (Gabala)

Referee: Hamzazade R. (Aze)


	Araz Naxçıvan		Sabah

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.50	1.35
	6.8	4.5	1.33	Watch
	7.83	4.85	1.36
	6.76	4.6	1.39	Watch
	7.75	4.7	1.33
	7.75	4.55	1.39
	7	4.7	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.23 ↑ (5.93)	4.63 ↑ (4.12)	1.36 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araz Naxçıvan
12.7%

Draw
19.8%

Sabah
67.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.5%

22.3%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabah's recent form is better than expected.

Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Augusto A. (G) 8. Ahmadzada M. 6. Andrade P. (C) 26. Buludov O. 5. Dumancic L. 27. Letic B. 11. Mara M. 7. Muradov R. 29. Nuriyev C. 17. Paro I. 19. Sudi A.	92. Pokatilov S. (C) 10. Isayev A. 6. Khaybulaev A. 13. Lepinjica I. 99. Mbina O. 4. McCarthy A. 17. Mutallimov T. 8. Nwachukwu C. 11. Parris K. 27. Puchacz T. 3. Solvet S.
Substitutes
99. Ahmadli T. (G) 13. Alizada Q. 10. Boli C. 12. Bruno Franco 23. Fernandez A. 22. Hasanov R. 14. Isgandarov U. 36. Kane M. 77. Mehraliyev N. 21. Piriyev I. 9. Salyanskiy A.	35. Bulus J. 5. Dashdamirov R. 88. Fernandes R. 95. Ibrahimov S. 33. Junior Almeida 23. Lachaab Y. 20. Mickels J. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 1. Ramazanov A. (G) 16. Rustamli R. 21. Simic V.
Coaches
Huseynov C.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Mbina O. ⚽,
67', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Simic V. ↑,
68', Mutallimov T. ↓, Junior Almeida ↑,
68', Parris K. ↓, Mickels J. ↑,
80', Isayev A. ↓, Lachaab Y. ↑,
85', Sudi A. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
85', Muradov R. ↓, Bruno Franco ↑,
90', Ahmadzada M. ↓, Kane M. ↑,
90', Nuriyev C. ↓, Boli C. ↑,
90+1', Mbina O. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araz won 0.

Sabah has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sabah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabah is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Araz won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Araz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sabah Baku	6	5	1	0	14:1	13	16
12	Araz	8	0	2	6	6:17	-11	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araz Naxçıvan PFK
Azerbaijan Premier League
23.08.26	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	5:0 ✺
15.08.26	Araz Naxçıvan - İmişli	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Zira	3:2 ✺
15.05.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWWL
- Sabah Baku FK
UEFA Champions League
25.08.26	Sabah - Hapoel Beer Sheva	5:2 AET ✺
19.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sabah	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
15.08.26	Sabah - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Sabah - AGF Aarhus	4:0 ✺
05.08.26	AGF Aarhus - Sabah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
07.04.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	2:4
08.02.26	Sabah - Araz Naxçıvan	4:1
25.10.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	2:2
03.05.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	1:1
04.03.25	Sabah - Araz Naxçıvan	2:2
14.12.24	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	0:1
05.10.24	Sabah - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1

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