Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Lomzy (Lomza)


	ŁKS Łomża		Wikielec

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.6	6.25
	1.38	4.65	5.9
	1.45	5.29	4.38
	1.02	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.28	5.2	7.95	Watch
	1.4	4.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)	4.26 ↓ (4.98)	5.25 ↓ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łomża
64.1%

Draw
19.8%

Wikielec
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

18.3%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

18.2%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łomża has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Wikielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wikielec than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ŁKS Łomża - Wikielec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Antkowiak H. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Antkowiak H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', 2 - 1, Bajko M. ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, Tarnacki M. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, Dziegielewski D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ŁKS Łomża won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, ŁKS Łomża is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, ŁKS Łomża won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, ŁKS Łomża won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Odra Opole	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - ŁKS Łomża	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLW
- GKS Wikielec
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.09.25	Wikielec - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Wikielec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.25	Mławianka Mława - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wikielec	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Wikielec - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.05.25	Wikielec - ŁKS Łomża	2:4
05.10.24	ŁKS Łomża - Wikielec	1:1
30.03.24	Wikielec - ŁKS Łomża	0:1
02.09.23	ŁKS Łomża - Wikielec	2:1
14.04.18	ŁKS Łomża - Wikielec	0:0
02.09.17	Wikielec - ŁKS Łomża	1:2

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