Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Lomzy (Lomza)


	ŁKS Łomża		Wigry Suwałki

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.65	5.7
	1.39	4.74	5.62
	1.74	3.43	4.55	Watch
	1.52	4.87	4.61	Watch
	1.35	4.75	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.33)	4.49 ↓ (5.18)	5.36 ↓ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łomża
62.3%

Draw
20.5%

Wigry Suwałki
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

17.6%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

17.7%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łomża has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ŁKS Łomża's form might have worsened.

Wigry Suwałki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ŁKS Łomża, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ŁKS Łomża - Wigry Suwałki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, Antkowiak H. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Swiety L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6).

ŁKS Łomża has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wigry is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wigry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, ŁKS Łomża is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ŁKS Łomża won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, ŁKS Łomża won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.09.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - ŁKS Łomża	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	ŁKS Łomża - Broń Radom	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Wisła Płock II - ŁKS Łomża	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	ŁKS Łomża - Znicz Biała Piska	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW
- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.09.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wikielec	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Broń Radom - Wigry Suwałki	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	3:2 ✺
27.08.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Wigry Suwałki	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Troszyn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.05.25	Wigry Suwałki - ŁKS Łomża	0:3
19.10.24	ŁKS Łomża - Wigry Suwałki	2:1

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