Match Info

Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion ŁKS (Lodz)

Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	ŁKS Łódź		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.2
	1.75	3.7	4
	1.72	3.75	4.25
	1.74	4.09	4.3
	1.72	3.71	4.55	Watch
	1.74	3.74	4.21
	1.71	3.6	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	3.76 ↓ (3.81)	4.19 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
53.5%

Draw
24.5%

GKS Tychy
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.3%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

21.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ŁKS Łódź that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ŁKS Łódź - GKS Tychy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ŁKS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - ŁKS (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ŁKS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bobek A. (G) 6. Rudol S. 22. Craciun A. 28. Falowski K. 11. Norlin G. 2. Loffelsend J. 14. Mokrzycki M. (C) 20. Wysokinski M. 10. Ernst S. 99. Piasecki F. 80. Toma B.	1. Wechsel L. (G) 3. Teclaw J. (C) 5. Glogowski K. 4. Lipkowski K. 37. Keiblinger J. 15. Bieronski J. 28. Kalemba M. L. 11. Blachewicz M. 90. Welniak K. 22. Kubik T. 19. Stangret M.
Substitutes
7. Balic H. 12. Bomba L. (G) 8. Hinokio K. 31. Jurkiewicz A. 19. Krykun S. 26. Ksiazek M. 21. Kupczak M. 90. Lewandowski M. 30. Szczepanski M.	23. Adamczyk N. 47. Jankowski B. 92. Kadzior D. 31. Kolotylo K. (G) 10. Makowski R. 9. Rumin D. 7. Sanyang M. 18. Stefansson O. 8. Szpakowski M.
Coaches
Grabowski S.	Skowronek A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Toma B. ⚽, Craciun A. (A),
45+4', Kubik T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Stangret M. ↓, Kadzior D. ↑,
56', Piasecki F. ↓, Lewandowski M. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Teclaw J. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Keiblinger J. (Own goal),
69', Welniak K. ↓, Rumin D. ↑,
69', Blachewicz M. ↓, Sanyang M. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Loffelsend J. ⚽,
74', Norlin G. 🟨,
79', Bieronski J. ↓, Makowski R. ↑,
79', Kalemba M. L. ↓, Szpakowski M. ↑,
85', Toma B. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
85', Wysokinski M. ↓, Kupczak M. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ŁKS won 3.

Recent performances by ŁKS have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

GKS Tychy is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

ŁKS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, ŁKS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, ŁKS won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, ŁKS won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
29.09.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź	3:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	ŁKS Łódź - Chrobry Głogów	5:3 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.25	ŁKS Łódź - Wieczysta Kraków	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ruch Chorzów - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Odra Opole - ŁKS Łódź	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTLT
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
27.09.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.25	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	4:0 ✺
12.09.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.25	Piast Gliwice - GKS Tychy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.04.25	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Tychy	1:3
06.10.24	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	0:3
12.02.23	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Tychy	1:1
24.07.22	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	0:1
21.11.21	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Tychy	2:0
30.07.21	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	1:1
13.06.21	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	1:1

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