Match Info

Division 1 - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Tychy City Stadium (Tychy)

Referee: Jenda M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	GKS Tychy		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.78	3.4	2.35
	2.9	3.56	2.36
	5.43	4.43	1.52	Watch
	2.71	3.38	2.35
	2.35	3.2	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.35)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)	2.37 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
31.8%

Draw
27.3%

Polonia Bytom
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.9%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Tychy's form might have worsened.

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Bytom's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Tychy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Bytom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Tychy: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): GKS Tychy will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kolotylo K. (G) 5. Glogowski K. 3. Teclaw J. 18. Stefansson O. 37. Keiblinger J. 8. Szpakowski M. 15. Bieronski J. 11. Blachewicz M. 7. Sanyang M. 92. Kadzior D. 19. Stangret M.	1. Holewinski A. (G) 30. Krzyzak O. 13. Azatsky O. 77. Szymanski J. 27. Apolinarski J. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. 10. Michalski K. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 23. Arak J. 11. Andrzejczak K.
Substitutes
. Jankowski B. . Kalemba M. L. . Kubik T. . Lipkowski K. . Machowski K. . Makowski R. . Myszkowski K. (G) . Niemann N. . Welniak K.	4. Bakala M. 22. Calavera J. 5. Matic M. 35. Mazur K. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Stefanski P. 14. Szymusik G. 9. Wojtyra K. 17. Wolkowicz K.
Coaches
Skowronek A.	Tomczyk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Gajda T. ⚽, Kwiatkowski O. (A),
18', Blachewicz M. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Keiblinger J. ⚽, Sanyang M. (A),
45+6', Sanyang M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Arak J. ⚽,
61', Apolinarski J. ↓, Wolkowicz K. ↑,
61', Krzyzak O. ↓, Matic M. ↑,
62', Bieronski J. 🟨,
70', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
70', Arak J. ↓, Wojtyra K. ↑,
71', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Bakala M. ↑,
74', Sanyang M. ↓, Niemann N. ↑,
74', Blachewicz M. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,
74', Stangret M. ↓, Jankowski B. ↑,
74', Labojko M. 🟨,
81', Kadzior D. ↓, Kubik T. ↑,
86', Michalski K. 🟨,
90+2', Niemann N. ↓, Makowski R. ↑,
90+3', Gajda T. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 3.

GKS Tychy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Polonia Bytom is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

GKS Tychy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Tychy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Tychy - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.38%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Club Friendly
06.09.25	Piast Gliwice - GKS Tychy	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
29.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	GKS Tychy - Stal Mielec	0:1 ✺
21.08.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWT
- Polonia Bytom
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Baník Ostrava B - Polonia Bytom	1:5 ✺
04.09.25	Cracovia - Polonia Bytom	0:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
30.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	4:2 ✺
24.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.07.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom	2:1
18.01.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom	1:3
15.07.23	GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom	2:0
04.02.17	Polonia Bytom - GKS Tychy	0:0
Polish Division 2
13.03.16	Polonia Bytom - GKS Tychy	0:1
22.08.15	GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom	2:1
Polish Division 1
07.04.13	Polonia Bytom - GKS Tychy	0:3

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