Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Warta Poznań		ŁKS Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.65	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.67	3.4	2.65
	2.62	3.32	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.58	3.32	2.53	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 (2.6)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	2.54 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
35.6%

Draw
28%

ŁKS Łódź
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29.9%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ŁKS Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 3 - 50%). ŁKS will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grobelny J. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 20. Szeliga B. 5. Tkachuk Y. 77. Walus F. 3. Kielb J. (C) 10. Zurawski M. 9. Firlej M. 21. Adamski R.	12. Bomba L. (G) 8. Dankowski K. 2. Gulen L. 4. Mihaljevic I. 37. Glowacki P. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 9. Arasa A. 14. Mokrzycki M. 22. Labedzki J. 15. Mlynarczyk A. 27. Feiertag S.
Substitutes
7. Gaska D. . Jozwicki K. 15. Mackowiak M. 26. Michalski K. 8. Norkowski L. 23. Pawlowski S. 42. Przybylak L. (G) 27. Przybylko K. 17. Sarbinowski S.	17. Ibe-Torti K. 16. Idasiak H. (G) 23. Iwanczyk A. 24. Louveau A. 26. Pawlak A. 3. Tutyskinas A. 20. Wysokinski M. 19. Zajac J.
Coaches
Jacek P.	Dziolka J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', Mihaljevic I. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Arasa A. ⚽, Kupczak M. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Mlynarczyk A. ⚽, Mokrzycki M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Zurawski M. ↓, Pawlowski S. ↑,
46', Walus F. ↓, Jozwicki K. ↑,
46', Plesnierowicz W. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Bartkowski J. ⚽,
51', 1 - 3, Feiertag S. ⚽, Mokrzycki M. (A),
55', 2 - 3, Szeliga B. ⚽, Pawlowski S. (A),
67', Labedzki J. ↓, Wysokinski M. ↑,
67', Mlynarczyk A. ↓, Zajac J. ↑,
73', Jozwicki K. 🟨,
75', 2 - 4, Mokrzycki M. ⚽, Zajac J. (A),
79', Bartkowski J. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
80', Mihaljevic I. ↓, Tutyskinas A. ↑,
84', Feiertag S. 🟨,
87', Tkachuk Y. ↓, Sarbinowski S. ↑,
90', Arasa A. ↓, Ibe-Torti K. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

ŁKS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Warta won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
17.08.24	Stal Rzeszów - Warta Poznań	4:0 ✺
10.08.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0 ✺
02.08.24	GKS Tychy - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Warta Poznań - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Warta Poznań	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLL
- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
16.08.24	ŁKS Łódź - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Miedź Legnica - ŁKS Łódź	1:0 ✺
05.08.24	ŁKS Łódź - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
29.07.24	Arka Gdynia - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.24	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
11.03.24	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	0:1
01.09.23	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	0:2
Club Friendly
03.07.19	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	3:0
Polish Division 1
16.03.19	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	3:0
25.08.18	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	0:2
Polish Division 2
27.04.18	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	2:0
30.09.17	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	0:0

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