Match Info

Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej (Poznań) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	18:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Warta Poznań		ŁKS Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.55	3.40	2.30
	2.63	3.39	2.69
	2.57	3.4	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.65
	2.46	3.20	2.51	Watch
	2.50	3.30	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.81)	3.31 ↓ (3.43)	2.53 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
36%

Draw
27.7%

ŁKS Łódź
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.2%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

27.5%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). ŁKS will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (C) 18. Najemski A. 3. Azatsky O. 21. Kalata K. 7. Apolinarski J. 22. Lysiak K. 13. Niedzielski J. 17. Stefaniak M. 23. Kusztal P. 20. Szymanek K. 9. Stanek M.	77. Weglarz D. (G) 6. Rudol S. 22. Craciun A. (C) 4. Farbiszewski B. 37. Keiblinger J. 20. Wysokinski M. 28. Kaput M. 8. Hinokio K. 38. Karasinski S. 33. Szczygiel L. 9. Arasa A.
Substitutes
24. Avdeev D. 77. Kendzia J. 2. Lepczynski K. 33. Piechowiak B. (G) 8. Rejczyk F. 99. Smoczynski M. 71. Steblecki S. 11. Wolczek A. 16. Wybieralski K.	1. Bomba L. (G) 3. Falowski K. 19. Nowakowski K. 99. Piasecki F. 17. Prusinski K. 7. Sokol D. 10. Strzalek I. 88. Terlecki K. 5. Wiech L.
Coaches
Tokarczyk M.	Szoka G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Kalata K. ↓, Avdeev D. ↑,
54', Lysiak K. ↓, Rejczyk F. ↑,
60', Craciun A. 🟨,
63', Wysokinski M. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
63', Karasinski S. ↓, Sokol D. ↑,
65', Keiblinger J. 🟨,
68', Szymanek K. ↓, Wolczek A. ↑,
72', Hinokio K. ↓, Prusinski K. ↑,
73', Szczygiel L. ↓, Nowakowski K. ↑,
77', Sokol D. 🟨,
80', Najemski A. 🟨,
82', Najemski A. ↓, Lepczynski K. ↑,
82', Arasa A. ↓, Piasecki F. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Sokol D. ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta won 1.

Warta has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

ŁKS has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Warta has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:20 (averaging 0.6:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Warta against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:9 goals (averaging 0.7:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	LKS Lodz	12	6	3	3	15:11	4	21
8	Warta Poznan	12	6	0	6	19:16	3	18

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

LKS Lodz: 7.34% Warta Poznan: 0.67%

Last Results with these Odds

Warta Poznań - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.22%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
16.10.26	Warta Poznań - Unia Skierniewice	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Chrobry Głogów - Warta Poznań	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
18.09.26	Warta Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Warta Poznań - Arka Gdynia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWW
- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
18.10.26	ŁKS Łódź - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	ŁKS Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - ŁKS Łódź	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Arka Gdynia - ŁKS Łódź	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
07.03.25	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	3:1
20.08.24	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	2:4
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.03.24	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	0:1
01.09.23	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	0:2
Club Friendly
03.07.19	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	3:0
Polish Division 1
16.03.19	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	3:0
25.08.18	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	0:2

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