The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Şəfa 33.3%
Draw 29.1%
Kapaz 37.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.9%
28.1%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
27.5%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Şəfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Şəfa - Kapaz Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Kapaz (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Kapaz (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kapaz (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Tiago Silva (G) 42. Cafarov E. (C) 11. Dragu A. 17. Guel M. 55. Huseynli R. 4. Jarjue M. 9. Luis Felipe 34. Mamengi C. 10. Mertens D. 83. Quliyev N. 6. Yusifli F.
1. Rogerio (G) 34. Abbasov U. (C) 4. Abuladze M. 27. Acquah D. 33. Benito 66. Domgjoni D. 14. Fofana A. 10. Haciyev R. 20. Maharramli R. 8. Seyidov S. 11. Stina V.
Substitutes
23. Aliyev N. 18. Dansoko B. 22. Diaw O. 7. Fuller T. 99. Huseynov M. (G) 77. Mammadov E. 28. Musayev M. 12. Mustabazada A. (G) 8. Pop V. 29. Qanbarov V. 3. Quliyev T. 21. Zulfugarli I.
6. Abdullayev V. 21. Abubakar A. 2. Atakishiyev A. 94. Azizli R. (G) 5. Babayev H. 3. Ba M. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 70. Ismayilov S. 19. Kalantarov F. 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U. 57. Yusifov A.
Coaches
Hashimov Z.
Mammadov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Stina V. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Huseynli R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 0, Jarjue M. ⚽,
57', Tiago Silva 🟨,
69', Maharramli R. ↓, Abubakar A. ↑,
71', Luis Felipe ↓, Dansoko B. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Seyidov S. (Penalty Awarded),
80', 1 - 2, Benito ⚽,
88', Benito ↓, Atakishiyev A. ↑,
88', Haciyev R. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
89', Huseynli R. ↓, Zulfugarli I. ↑,
90+3', Stina V. ↓, Ismayilov S. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 11th in the Premier League (Relegation) and 7th).
Şəfa is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Kapaz has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kapaz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kapaz has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Kapaz in today's match, at odds of 2.26.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.