Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ganja City Stadium (Gäncä) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aliyev E. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Azerbaijan	18:30	CBC Sport


	Kapaz		Zira

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.20	1.82
	3.85	3.10	1.85	Watch
	4.49	3.30	1.92
	4.33	3.36	1.79	Watch
	4.40	3.00	1.88
	4.07	3.04	1.87	Watch
	3.90	3.20	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.39)	3.17 ↑ (3.05)	1.86 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapaz
22.2%

Draw
28.8%

Zira
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.2%

30.2%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

29.4%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kapaz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kapaz - Zira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rogerio (G) 34. Abbasov U. (C) 4. Abuladze M. 27. Acquah D. 7. Alasgarov N. 33. Benito 66. Domgjoni D. 14. Fofana A. 9. Kalunga K. 8. Seyidov S. 11. Stina V.	13. Bayramov A. (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 7. Aydin E. 11. Guseynov A. 6. Hacyly H. 8. Ibrahimli I. 3. Legbo D. 33. Misahsah M. 5. Mutsinzi A. 4. Ruan Renato 9. Volkovi D.
Substitutes
6. Abdullayev V. 2. Atakishiyev A. 94. Azizli R. (G) 5. Babayev H. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 10. Haciyev R. 23. Isaqov R. 70. Ismayilov S. 19. Kalantarov F. 20. Maharramli R. 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U.	14. Alicanov E. 29. Chrismael D. 20. Djibrilla I. 57. Haciyev Y. 48. Muradov R. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 10. Papunashvili G. 72. Quliyev H. (G) 2. Seydiyev A. 23. Smith D.
Coaches
Mammadov A.	Sadiqov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Seyidov S. 🟨,
44', Domgjoni D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Benito ⚽,
59', Mchakhchekh M. ↓, Seydiyev A. ↑,
59', Aydin E. ↓, Papunashvili G. ↑,
59', Hacyly H. ↓, Alicanov E. ↑,
72', Benito ↓, Haciyev R. ↑,
81', Acquah D. ↓, Abdullayev V. ↑,
81', Stina V. ↓, Maharramli R. ↑,
81', Guseynov A. ↓, Djibrilla I. ↑,
83', Alicanov E. 🟨,
87', Kalunga K. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Volkovi D. ⚽, Aliyev Q. (A),

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 0.

Kapaz has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Zira has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Kapaz has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Bookmakers give the edge to Zira for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kapaz has recorded 1 win, 6 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:37 (averaging 0.5:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kapaz against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with 3:14 goals (averaging 0.3:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Zira	9	4	3	2	12:12	0	15
6	Kapaz	8	4	2	2	9:9	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

Kapaz - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.17%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
09.10.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Kapaz - Sumgayit	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kapaz - Gabala	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Kapaz - Shamakhi	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Kapaz - Turan Tovuz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWLW
- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
10.10.26	Zira - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sabah - Zira	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
09.03.26	Zira - Kapaz	2:2
28.11.25	Kapaz - Zira	0:2
30.08.25	Zira - Kapaz	5:0
26.04.25	Kapaz - Zira	0:1
24.02.25	Zira - Kapaz	2:0
08.12.24	Kapaz - Zira	0:4
28.09.24	Zira - Kapaz	3:0

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