Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Tovuz şəhər stadionu (Tovuz)

Referee: Ahmadov R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Kapaz		Zira

	1	X	2
	6.3	3.75	1.46	Watch
	6.98	3.97	1.46
	5.71	3.84	1.53	Watch
	7.06	3.7	1.45	Watch
	6.66	3.8	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.54 ↑ (6.03)	3.81 ↑ (3.7)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapaz
13.9%

Draw
23.9%

Zira
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

24.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

23.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kapaz - Zira Predictions

Users Predictions: Zira will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Imanov Y. (G) 53. Asurov S. 5. Huseynli R. 27. Isayev M. 38. Jefferson Maciel 10. Ohori R. 24. Onanuga O. 17. Samadov U. 88. Seyidov S. 7. Shahverdiyev E. 29. Verdasca D. (C)	97. Tiago Silva (G) 26. Acka S. 14. Alicanov E. 17. Gomis I. 25. Henrique Gelain 8. Ibrahimli I. 11. Martins Junior 28. Mickels L. 29. Nuriyev C. 10. Papunashvili G. 4. Ruan Renato (C)
Substitutes
20. Abilov E. 66. Atakishiyev A. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 55. Dongo D. 14. Fofana A. 6. Gomes P. 23. Kalantarov F. 77. Nabiyev F. 99. Samadov A.	70. Alasgarov N. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 16. Bayramov F. 77. Bogomolskiy E. 20. Djibrilla I. 30. Guima 21. Hacyly H. 93. Konate B. 6. Kuliyev E. 7. Muradov R. 5. Mutsinzi A. 41. Nazirov A. (G)
Coaches
Bagirov A.	Sadiqov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Huseynli R. 🟨,
57', Ibrahimli I. ↓, Djibrilla I. ↑,
58', Nuriyev C. ↓, Konate B. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Mickels L. ⚽,
63', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Fofana A. ↑,
63', Isayev M. ↓, Nabiyev F. ↑,
68', Asurov S. ↓, Dongo D. ↑,
71', Mickels L. ↓, Bogomolskiy E. ↑,
71', Papunashvili G. ↓, Guima ↑,
83', Onanuga O. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
83', Ohori R. ↓, Abilov E. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Djibrilla I. ⚽,
90', Martins Junior ↓, Mutsinzi A. ↑,
90+3', Gomis I. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 0.

Kapaz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zira is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Zira is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 8:36. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.11.25	Karvan - Kapaz	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Kapaz - Sabah	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Neftchi Baku - Kapaz	5:1 ✺
24.10.25	Kapaz - İmişli	0:3 ✺
17.10.25	Shamakhi - Kapaz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLLLW
- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
22.11.25	Zira - Gabala	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Zira - Turan Tovuz	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Karvan - Zira	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Zira - Sumgayit	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Sabah - Zira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
30.08.25	Zira - Kapaz	5:0
26.04.25	Kapaz - Zira	0:1
24.02.25	Zira - Kapaz	2:0
08.12.24	Kapaz - Zira	0:4
28.09.24	Zira - Kapaz	3:0
18.05.24	Kapaz - Zira	0:1
16.03.24	Zira - Kapaz	2:1

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