Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Şəfa		Turan Tovuz

	1	X	2
	5.7	4.05	1.43
	6.33	4.23	1.43
	5.9	4.12	1.48	Watch
	6.2	4.1	1.4
	6.32	4.05	1.42
	5.8	4.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↑ (4.93)	4.13 ↑ (3.57)	1.44 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Şəfa
15%

Draw
21.9%

Turan Tovuz
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

25.8%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

24.6%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Şəfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Turan Tovuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Turan Tovuz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Şəfa - Turan Tovuz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 10th and 4th).

Şəfa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Turan have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Şəfa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Turan as the clear and undisputed favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Turan Tovuz	6	3	2	1	6:4	2	11
10	Safa Baku	6	1	0	5	2:11	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Şəfa FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.09.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Şəfa	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	Şəfa - Sabah	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Neftchi Baku - Şəfa	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Şəfa - İmişli	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Gabala - Şəfa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLW
- Turan Tovuz
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Turan Tovuz - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.09.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Turan Tovuz	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Kapaz - Turan Tovuz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTWL

Şəfa - Turan Tovuz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide