Match Info

MALTA: Challenge Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Żebbuġ Rangers		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	2.61	3.35	2.38
	2.57	3.53	2.41	Watch
	2.52	3.4	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.22)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	2.39 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żebbuġ Rangers
35.4%

Draw
26.5%

Santa Lucia
38%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żebbuġ Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żebbuġ Rangers's form might have worsened.

Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Lucia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Żebbuġ Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Lucia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Żebbuġ Rangers - Santa Lucia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Asante E. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 0, Gatt L. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Bradshaw A. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
92', 1 - 2, Bradshaw A. ⚽,
107', 2 - 2, Mosquera D. ⚽,
Penalties (1 - 4)

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Żebbuġ won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Żebbuġ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League
23.02.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Sirens	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Gudja United - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Swieqi United - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTLW
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	3:6 ✺
08.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Santa Lucia	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	5:3 ✺
25.01.25	Fgura United - Santa Lucia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
02.11.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Santa Lucia	1:2
Maltese Premier League
20.01.23	Santa Lucia - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:1
03.09.22	Żebbuġ Rangers - Santa Lucia	2:0
Maltese Challenge League
11.02.19	Santa Lucia - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:4
25.09.18	Żebbuġ Rangers - Santa Lucia	0:3

Żebbuġ Rangers - Santa Lucia