Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Tarxien Rainbows		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.65	3.45	Watch
	1.85	3.33	3.76
	1.85	3.54	3.79	Watch
	1.84	3.46	3.75
	1.87	3.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.95)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	3.64 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarxien Rainbows
49.1%

Draw
25.9%

Santa Lucia
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

24%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vella A. (G) 37. Azzopardi M. 98. Barboza C. 88. Boadu D. 21. Brincat Z. 17. Mensah G. 77. Muscat B. 5. Sant D. 19. Tabone M. (C) 6. Vella H. 8. Xuereb M.	13. Farrugia C. (G) 19. Asante E. 23. Bajada J. 27. Borg A. 15. Bradshaw A. 10. Cloth J. (C) 42. Hanan B. 5. Nicholl J. 8. Ojo T. 6. Sixsmith J. 74. Vella A.
Substitutes
7. Borg C. 11. Borg S. P. 70. Briffa K. 10. Brincat J. 33. Cande B. 20. Debono J. 99. Gusman T. 95. Micallef S. (G) 18. Mizzi S.	14. Bajada J. 1. Buhagiar M. (G) 7. Legault W. 21. Mangion D. 45. Mawuena S. 2. Polidano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Xuereb M. 🟨,
24', Brincat Z. 🟨,
43', Bajada J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Tarxien is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santa Lucia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tarxien will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tarxien won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:15 (average 0.8:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tarxien won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Challenge League
16.02.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Tarxien Rainbows	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Sirens	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Żurrieq - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWTW
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Challenge League
15.02.25	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	3:6 ✺
08.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Santa Lucia	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	5:3 ✺
25.01.25	Fgura United - Santa Lucia	5:1 ✺
19.01.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
19.01.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	2:1
Maltese Premier League
13.02.21	Santa Lucia - Tarxien Rainbows	7:0
20.10.20	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	0:2
09.02.20	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	1:3
22.09.19	Santa Lucia - Tarxien Rainbows	2:1

Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide