Match Info

Date: 2 May 2022, Monday


	Žalgiris Vilnius 2		Banga Gargždai 2

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.55	3.65
	1.53	4.6	3.85
	1.58	4.54	3.83
	1.52	3.75	4.8
	1.57	4.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.13)	4.35 ↑ (3.78)	4.15 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
57.6%

Draw
20.7%

Banga Gargždai 2
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

23.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Žalgiris Vilnius 2's performance.

Banga Gargždai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banga Gargždai 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Žalgiris Vilnius 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai 2 than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banga Gargždai 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	13.6%	13.6%

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Banga Gargždai 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Žalgiris 2 will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Banga 2 will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris 2: 54.1% – 91.3%.

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 12 and 14).

Recent matches Žalgiris 2 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Banga 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Banga 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Banga 2 have a series of home games.

In this match Žalgiris 2 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Žalgiris 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Žalgiris 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
15.04.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1 ✺
08.04.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:0 ✺
03.04.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Riteriai 2	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Minija Kretinga - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTTTL
- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - FA Šiauliai B	0:1 ✺
08.04.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	4:3 ✺
01.04.22	Babrungas Plungė - Banga Gargždai 2	3:0 ✺
27.03.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Neptūnas	0:5 ✺
21.03.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Riteriai 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
07.07.21	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	4:0
21.05.21	Banga Gargždai 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:0

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