Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 16

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Gargzdai stadium (Gargzdai)


	Banga Gargždai 2		Atmosfera Mažeikiai

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.61
	4.5	4	1.6	Watch
	4.29	3.93	1.61
	4.38	4.04	1.63	Watch
	4.55	3.92	1.61
	4.4	4.1	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.28)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	1.61 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banga Gargždai 2
20.7%

Draw
22.9%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

24.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banga Gargždai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banga Gargždai 2's form might have worsened.

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atmosfera Mažeikiai's recent form is better than expected.

Banga Gargždai 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 57. Ambrazaitis M. 8. Joao Gabriel 80. Juska B. 86. Kasperavicius P. 14. Kirjanov E. 21. Pliuskys K. 81. Praleika S. 31. Ruskys L. 11. Smulkys E. 20. Toleikis K. (C)	1. Juska L. (G) 7. Andriejauskas A. 15. Bawa Zuure M. 17. Fushimi T. 11. Gineitis D. (C) 16. Hiruma T. 22. Jankauskas J. 4. Mika A. 71. Ogundu M. 8. Shapovalov Y. 6. Vasiliauskas M.
Substitutes
16. Bockus V. 29. Griksas J. 53. Juozapavicius J. 30. Jurgutis V. 4. Paulius S. 43. Statkus A. 27. Straksys A. 47. Tucas K. 54. Urbonas N. (G)	14. Gritkus E. 33. Lopez K. (G) 9. Najulis K. 10. Pilpani B. 20. Srederis N. 2. Stasys M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', 🟨,
72', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Atmosfera is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atmosfera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Banga 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Banga 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
21.06.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Neptūnas	0:6 ✺
16.06.24	Babrungas Plungė - Banga Gargždai 2	1:0 ✺
09.06.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:2 ✺
31.05.24	Garliava - Banga Gargždai 2	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Ekranas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWT
- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
26.06.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:0 ✺
21.06.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1 ✺
08.06.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Garliava	3:2 ✺
02.06.24	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
12.04.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Banga Gargždai 2	1:0
19.08.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Banga Gargždai 2	3:1
08.04.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	4:3
01.10.21	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Banga Gargždai 2	3:3
19.06.21	Banga Gargždai 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:2

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