Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 15

Date: 21 June 2024, Friday


	Banga Gargždai 2		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.25	5.5	1.23
	7.5	5	1.3	Watch
	8.67	5.23	1.24
	8.67	5.23	1.24
	9.5	5.5	1.18
	8.88	5.55	1.3	Watch
	7.8	4.9	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.61 ↓ (9.2)	5.27 ↑ (4.75)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banga Gargždai 2
10.5%

Draw
17.2%

Neptūnas
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10%

19.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.6%

18.6%

73.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banga Gargždai 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai 2 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Banga Gargždai 2 - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 57. Ambrazaitis M. 88. Balasanov A. 80. Juska B. 86. Kasperavicius P. 14. Kirjanov E. 21. Pliuskys K. 81. Praleika S. 87. Simkus N. (C) 11. Smulkys E. 20. Toleikis K.	71. Petkevicius P. (G) 2. Bondar D. 6. Diawara H. 7. Goupy B. 13. Jonusas T. 29. Jurgelevicius D. (C) 34. Kurakinas A. 98. Omokhoa Ilevbare D. 9. Rusys M. 4. Vyzdryk N. 11. Zubauskas D.
Substitutes
35. Bertasius M. 29. Griksas J. 53. Juozapavicius J. 45. Laugalys R. 28. Lukas D. 25. Skruibys M. 43. Statkus A. 27. Straksys A. 54. Urbonas N. (G)	33. Ankudinovas A. 19. Barsteika L. 10. Dovgij O. 99. Gecas A. 78. Kasparavicius J. 89. Komza D. (G) 94. Paulius I. 24. Razvadauskas A. 5. Velyvis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Omokhoa Ilevbare D. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Rusys M. ⚽,
32', Kirjanov E. 🟨,
43', Kasperavicius P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
49', 0 - 3, ⚽,
73', 0 - 4, ⚽,
75', 0 - 5, ⚽,
83', 0 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: )).

Recent matches Banga 2 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Neptūnas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neptūnas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Neptūnas is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Banga 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Banga 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
16.06.24	Babrungas Plungė - Banga Gargždai 2	1:0 ✺
09.06.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:2 ✺
31.05.24	Garliava - Banga Gargždai 2	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Ekranas	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	BFA Vilnius - Banga Gargždai 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWTT
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
14.06.24	Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	5:0 ✺
31.05.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas	1:1 ✺
24.05.24	Nevėžis - Neptūnas	0:2 ✺
17.05.24	Neptūnas - Tauras Tauragė	2:1 ✺
10.05.24	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
05.08.22	Neptūnas - Banga Gargždai 2	4:1
27.03.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Neptūnas	0:5
22.08.21	Neptūnas - Banga Gargždai 2	2:1
25.04.21	Banga Gargždai 2 - Neptūnas	3:2

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