Match Info

OTHERS - MEN: United States Smash - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Sora Matsushima		Felix Lebrun

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2	1.72
	1.96	1.7
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.99)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 107.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sora Matsushima
47%

Felix Lebrun
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sora Matsushima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Felix Lebrun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sora Matsushima than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sora Matsushima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Lebrun than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Lebrun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sora Matsushima - Felix Lebrun Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Lebrun will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 53:55

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Preview

Matsushima has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lebrun is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Lebrun will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Matsushima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 2:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sora Matsushima
Table Tennis
04.07.26	Anders Lind - Sora Matsushima	0:4 ✺
02.07.26	Dang Qiu - Sora Matsushima	0:3 ✺
30.06.26	Omar Assar - Sora Matsushima	0:3 ✺
28.06.26	Kirill Gerassimenko - Sora Matsushima	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Sora Matsushima - Jingkun Liang	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWW?
- Felix Lebrun
Table Tennis
04.07.26	Felix Lebrun - Alexis Lebrun	4:2 ✺
02.07.26	Felix Lebrun - Joao Geraldo	3:0 ✺
30.06.26	Felix Lebrun - Chun Ting Wong	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	Felix Lebrun - Cheng Jui Kao	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Felix Lebrun - Hiroto Shinozuka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Table Tennis
15.03.26	Sora Matsushima - Felix Lebrun	3:4
21.06.25	Sora Matsushima - Felix Lebrun	1:3
11.03.24	Felix Lebrun - Sora Matsushima	3:2

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