The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Felix Lebrun 71.2%
Hugo Calderano 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.9%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.9%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felix Lebrun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Hugo Calderano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Lebrun than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Calderano than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lebrun won 3.
Lebrun arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Calderano shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this matchup, Lebrun is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Lebrun has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:19 (averaging 2.5:1.9 goals per game).