Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Abedallah Shelbayh		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.32	1.54
	2.26	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.61
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.32	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.65)	1.57 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abedallah Shelbayh
40.7%

Daniil Glinka
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abedallah Shelbayh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abedallah Shelbayh's form might have worsened.

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Glinka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abedallah Shelbayh than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abedallah Shelbayh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniil Glinka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Abedallah Shelbayh - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Glinka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniil Glinka will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shelbayh is ranked ATP: 291., and Glinka is ranked ATP: 178..

Shelbayh has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Glinka has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Glinka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Abedallah Shelbayh - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.65%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Daniil Glinka - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.35%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abedallah Shelbayh
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Damir Dzumhur - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Dylan Dietrich - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Moez Echargui - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Daniil Glinka - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Dino Prizmic - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

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