Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Moez Echargui		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.1	1.6
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.64
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.84)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
42.5%

Daniil Glinka
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moez Echargui's form might have worsened.

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Glinka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Moez Echargui - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Echargui is ranked ATP: 356., and Glinka is ranked ATP: 178..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Echargui may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Echargui has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Moez Echargui - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Moez Echargui - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Edas Butvilas - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Moez Echargui - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Moez Echargui - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Moez Echargui - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Daniil Glinka - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Dino Prizmic - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Daniel Jade	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.10.21	Moez Echargui - Daniil Glinka	2:0

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