Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Phoenix (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Adam Walton		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.5	2.66
	1.51	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.52	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)	2.42 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Walton
61.5%

Hugo Gaston
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Adam Walton - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Walton will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gaston will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Walton is ranked ATP: 96. Gaston is ranked ATP: 93.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Gaston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Walton will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Denis Shapovalov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Adam Walton - Michael Mmoh	2:1 ✺
03.03.25	Adam Walton - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.25	Marcos Giron - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Hugo Gaston - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Hugo Gaston - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Hugo Gaston - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame	✺

Adam Walton - Hugo Gaston