Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Hugo Gaston		Eliot Spizzirri

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.46	1.48	Watch
	2.46	1.55
	2.41	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.27	1.64	Watch
	2.46	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.47)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
39.7%

Eliot Spizzirri
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Eliot Spizzirri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Gaston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eliot Spizzirri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Hugo Gaston - Eliot Spizzirri Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Spizzirri will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 93. Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 144.

Recent matches Gaston is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spizzirri in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Spizzirri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Spizzirri will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Spizzirri to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Hugo Gaston - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Hugo Gaston - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Hugo Gaston - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Hugo Gaston - Francesco Passaro	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLL?
- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Ethan Quinn - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
28.02.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Andres Martin - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW

Hugo Gaston - Eliot Spizzirri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide