Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday


	Hugo Gaston		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.22	Watch
	4.32	1.25
	4.25	1.22	Watch
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.15	1.24	Watch
	4.1	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3)	1.23 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
22.8%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Gaston's form might have worsened.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Martin Etcheverry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Martin Etcheverry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Hugo Gaston - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Martin Etcheverry will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 93. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 43.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Etcheverry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Etcheverry is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Hugo Gaston - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Hugo Gaston - Francesco Passaro	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Jiri Lehecka - Hugo Gaston	Gaston H. retired ✺
11.01.25	Hugo Gaston - Omar Jasika	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LL??W
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.25	Alexandre Muller - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
31.01.25	Casper Ruud - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

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