Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Keisuke Saitoh

	1	2
			Watch
	1.04	8.00
	1.07	7.50	Watch
	1.04	8.2	Watch
	1.04	10.00
	1.04	7.80	Watch
	1.05	7.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.07)	8.18 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 18.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
88.7%

Keisuke Saitoh
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.7%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Keisuke Saitoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mattia Bellucci - Keisuke Saitoh Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Saitoh will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 88., and Saitoh is ranked ATP: 550..

Bellucci has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Saitoh is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Bellucci may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bellucci enters as the overwhelming favorite.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Mattia Bellucci	3:0 ✺
01.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Zsombor Piros	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.26	Mattia Bellucci - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- Keisuke Saitoh
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.26	Jerry Roddick - Keisuke Saitoh	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Seong Chan Hong	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Kuan-Yi Lee - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Yu Tanaka - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

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