Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.65
	1.32	3	Watch
	1.44	2.72	Watch
	1.43	2.9
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)	2.84 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
67%

Alexandre Muller
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mattia Bellucci - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 86., and Muller is ranked ATP: 133..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Bellucci may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bellucci carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Bellucci has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 68.21%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Yanki Erel - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Bernard Tomic - Mattia Bellucci	Bellucci M. win ✺
30.09.26	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLW?W
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Rio Noguchi - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
27.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Federico Cina - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Moise Kouame - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexandre Muller	2:0
ATP Tokyo
22.09.24	Alexandre Muller - Mattia Bellucci	1:2

Mattia Bellucci - Alexandre Muller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide