Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hersonissos 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Adria Soriano Barrera		Henry Bernet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.83
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.87	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.09)	1.82 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adria Soriano Barrera
48.9%

Henry Bernet
51.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adria Soriano Barrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Henry Bernet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adria Soriano Barrera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henry Bernet than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henry Bernet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Adria Soriano Barrera - Henry Bernet Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Soriano Barrera will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bernet will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Soriano Barrera (votes: 1 - 50%). Bernet (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Bernet (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Soriano Barrera (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bernet (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 354. Bernet is ranked ATP: 506.

Soriano Barrera is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bernet has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Soriano Barrera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adria Soriano Barrera
ITF Tournaments
15.02.26	Adria Soriano Barrera - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Adria Soriano Barrera - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Kaichi Uchida - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Hugo Maia - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Lui Maxted - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW
- Henry Bernet
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Marko Topo - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Jan Kumstat - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Henry Bernet - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Adria Soriano Barrera - Henry Bernet

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Adria Soriano Barrera - Henry Bernet Predictions

Preview

Form

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