Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 July 2024, Friday

Referee: De Pasquale G. (Ita)


	Adrian Andreev		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.65
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.5	1.49	Watch
	2.26	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.39)	1.58 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Andreev
40.7%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Andreev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Adrian Andreev - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Andreev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barrios Vera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barrios Vera will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Andreev
ATP Challenger
11.07.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
10.07.24	Adrian Andreev - Svyatoslav Gulin	Gulin S. retired ✺
05.07.24	Adrian Andreev - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
04.07.24	Justin Engel - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
02.07.24	Jerome Kym - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 W?LWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
11.07.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
10.07.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Christian Garin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Anton Matusevich	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL

Adrian Andreev - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide