Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Referee: Germani A. (Ita)


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Jacopo Berrettini

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.48	2.7
	1.46	2.76	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.34	3.13	Watch
	1.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	2.72 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
65.6%

Jacopo Berrettini
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jacopo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Berrettini is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Berrettini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barrios Vera will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Christian Garin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Anton Matusevich	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Hugo Gaston - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW
- Jacopo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Chun Hsin Tseng	Tseng C. H. retired ✺
08.07.24	Luka Mikrut - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Pietro Pampanin - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
03.07.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
01.07.24	Raul Brancaccio - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 ?WWLW

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jacopo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide