Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HERTOGENBOSCH (NETHERLANDS), GRASS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 June 2023, Tuesday


	Adrian Mannarino		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.77	2.05
	1.76	2.12
	1.75	2.2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.09	Watch
	1.74	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.87)	2.1 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
54.7%

Arthur Fils
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Mannarino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Fils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.7%	0%	34.3%

Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 23 - 65.7%). Fils will win (votes: 12 - 34.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 50% – 81.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mannarino is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fils is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mannarino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Fils to win the game is with odds 2.03.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.23	Adrian Mannarino - Ugo Humbert	0:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
24.05.23	Adrian Mannarino - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
22.05.23	Adrian Mannarino - Filip Krajinovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Adrian Mannarino - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.23	Adrian Mannarino - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLL
- Arthur Fils
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.23	Arthur Fils - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Arthur Fils - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.23	Arthur Fils - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
27.05.23	Arthur Fils - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
26.05.23	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW

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