Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: LYON (FRANCE), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2


	Arthur Fils		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.6	1.29
	3.4	1.31
	3.65	1.32
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.46	1.31	Watch
	3.5	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.94)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
27.3%

Francisco Cerundolo
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Fils's form might have worsened.

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francisco Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Arthur Fils - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 57.5% – 87.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Fils is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerundolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cerundolo to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Lyon
26.05.23	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
25.05.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Arthur Fils	Fils A. walkover ✺
24.05.23	Arthur Fils - Mikael Ymer	Fils A. awarded ✺
22.05.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Ugo Humbert - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 W??WL
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Lyon
26.05.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
25.05.23	Jack Draper - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
23.05.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Francisco Cerundolo	Varillas J. P. retired ✺
ATP Roma
17.05.23	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
16.05.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Jannik Sinner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WW?LW

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