Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 October 2024, Thursday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.71	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.23
	1.72	2.17	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.12	Watch
	1.71	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 (1.72)	2.13 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
55.3%

Adrian Mannarino
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Aleksandar Vukic - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Mannarino will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vukic: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 85. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 56.

Vukic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mannarino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vukic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vukic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Almaty
16.10.24	James Duckworth - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Tomas Machac - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Almaty
15.10.24	Roman Safiullin - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Adrian Mannarino - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Adrian Mannarino	2:1
ATP Challenger
08.03.20	Adrian Mannarino - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0
02.01.17	Adrian Mannarino - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0

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