Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Adrian Mannarino		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.34
	3.24	1.32
	3.48	1.35
	3.23	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.4	1.37	Watch
	3	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
29.1%

Jiri Lehecka
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Adrian Mannarino - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Lehecka will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lehecka: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Lehecka (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 36.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5.5 Games - Mannarino (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jiri Lehecka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 1 - 20%). Lehecka (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 77. Lehecka is ranked ATP: 21.

In recent matches, Mannarino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lehecka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Lehecka is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Lehecka will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Adrian Mannarino - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.51%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP US Open
29.08.25	Ben Shelton - Adrian Mannarino	Shelton B. retired ✺
27.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	1:3 ✺
24.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Tallon Griekspoor	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 ?WWLW
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP US Open
29.08.25	Jiri Lehecka - Raphael Collignon	3:0 ✺
27.08.25	Jiri Lehecka - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Jiri Lehecka - Borna Coric	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.25	Ben Shelton - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Jiri Lehecka - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW

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