Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Adrian Mannarino		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.75	1.26	Watch
	3.55	1.3	Watch
	3.56	1.34
	3.58	1.28	Watch
	4	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.9	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (3.9)	1.28 ↑ (1.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
25.7%

Tommy Paul
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

76.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	0%	13%

Adrian Mannarino - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 20 - 90.9%). Paul will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 78.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Mannarino (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adrian Mannarino will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 89. Paul is ranked ATP: 16.

Mannarino is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paul is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mannarino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Tomas Machac - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWL
- Tommy Paul
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Tommy Paul	3:1 ✺
01.07.25	Johannus Monday - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.25	Daniel Evans - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.25	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
28.10.24	Adrian Mannarino - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.22	Tommy Paul - Adrian Mannarino	3:0

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