Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fort Worth, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fort Worth 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Aidan Mayo		Colton Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70
	2.20	1.63	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.71
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.10	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.08)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan Mayo
44.3%

Colton Smith
55.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aidan Mayo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colton Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Aidan Mayo - Colton Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mayo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Smith will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mayo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mayo is ranked ATP: 341., and Smith is ranked ATP: 212..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Smith holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Mayo has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 2:0.3 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Colton Smith - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.91%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
02.10.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Aidan Mayo - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Nikita Filin - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Aidan Mayo - Sebastian Gorzny	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Aidan Mayo - Jordan Lee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW
- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Aidan Mayo - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Duncan Chan - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Timo Legout - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Stefan Kozlov - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Aidan Mayo - Colton Smith	2:0
08.08.24	Colton Smith - Aidan Mayo	0:2
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
20.02.21	Colton Smith - Aidan Mayo	1:2

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