Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Aidan Mayo		Colton Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.4	1.51	Watch
	2.42	1.51	Watch
	2.45	1.5
	2.53	1.46	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (3.07)	1.5 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan Mayo
38%

Colton Smith
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aidan Mayo's performance.

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colton Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aidan Mayo - Colton Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mayo is ranked ATP: 356., and Smith is ranked ATP: 211..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Smith may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Smith holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Mayo has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Aidan Mayo - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Nikita Filin - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Aidan Mayo - Sebastian Gorzny	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Aidan Mayo - Jordan Lee	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Aidan Mayo - Ryan Seggerman	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Aidan Mayo - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Duncan Chan - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Timo Legout - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Stefan Kozlov - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Jerome Kym - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.08.24	Colton Smith - Aidan Mayo	0:2
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
20.02.21	Colton Smith - Aidan Mayo	1:2

Aidan Mayo - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide