Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday


	Aidan Mayo		Timo Legout

	1	2
	1.80	1.87
	1.78	1.93
	1.87	1.99
	1.77	1.93	Watch
	1.78	1.98
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.55)	1.93 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan Mayo
51.9%

Timo Legout
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aidan Mayo's form might have worsened.

Timo Legout has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timo Legout's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aidan Mayo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timo Legout than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Timo Legout, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

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Preview

Mayo is ranked ATP: 616. Legout is ranked ATP: 535.

Mayo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Legout is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mayo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mayo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
12.08.26	Stefan Kozlov - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Tristan Boyer - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Ryan Dickerson - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW
- Timo Legout
ITF Tournaments
09.08.26	Timo Legout - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Clement Chidekh - Timo Legout	Chidekh C. Retired ✺
07.08.26	Jack Anthrop - Timo Legout	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Alexander Frusina - Timo Legout	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Spencer Papa - Timo Legout	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 W?WWW

Aidan Mayo - Timo Legout: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide