Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Rei Sakamoto		Aidan Mayo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.67	2.08
	1.76	2.2
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.74	2.08	Watch
	1.68	2.03	Watch
	1.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.42)	2.08 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
54.9%

Aidan Mayo
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rei Sakamoto's form might have worsened.

Aidan Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aidan Mayo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aidan Mayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Rei Sakamoto - Aidan Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mayo will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 165. Mayo is ranked ATP: 625.

In recent matches, Sakamoto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mayo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mayo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.75%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	James McCabe - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
02.07.26	Rei Sakamoto - Timo Legout	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Rei Sakamoto - Jules Leroux	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Jaime Faria - Rei Sakamoto	3:1 ✺
24.06.26	Aziz Dougaz - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?LWLW
- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Aidan Mayo - Christian Langmo	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
28.07.26	Aidan Mayo - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Aidan Mayo - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Evan King - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

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