Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Alastair Gray		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.22	3.89	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)	2.34 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alastair Gray
59%

Daniel Michalski
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alastair Gray's performance.

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Michalski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Alastair Gray - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gray will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Michalski will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gray (votes: 2 - 50%). Michalski (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Michalski (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gray (votes: 2 - 40%). Michalski (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gray is ranked ATP: 408. Michalski is ranked ATP: 260.

Gray has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Michalski's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Michalski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Alastair Gray - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Alastair Gray - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Alastair Gray - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Alastair Gray - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Johannus Monday - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Michael Geerts - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Karan Singh - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Yi Zhou - Daniel Michalski	Michalski D. retired ✺
30.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LW?WW

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