Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Daniel Michalski		Florent Bax

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.72
	1.48	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.52	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)	2.51 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
62.7%

Florent Bax
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Daniel Michalski - Florent Bax Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michalski is ranked ATP: 257. Bax is ranked ATP: 284.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Michalski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Michalski could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Michalski - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.47%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Florent Bax - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.53%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Tim Handel	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Federico Cina - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW
- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Florent Bax - Marek Gengel	Gengel M. retired ✺
27.01.26	Florent Bax - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Florent Bax - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Andre Ilagan - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 ?WLWW

Daniel Michalski - Florent Bax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide