Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: New Delhi, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Michael Geerts		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.85	2.02
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.88	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.77)	1.95 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
52.2%

Daniel Michalski
47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Michael Geerts have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Daniel Michalski have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Michael Geerts - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Michalski will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Geerts: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Geerts (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Michalski (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 299. Michalski is ranked ATP: 260.

In recent matches, Geerts has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Michalski is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Michael Geerts - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Michael Geerts - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Michael Geerts - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLW
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Karan Singh - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Yi Zhou - Daniel Michalski	Michalski D. retired ✺
30.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Tim Handel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 W?WWW

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