Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: New Delhi, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Alastair Gray		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.45	1.26	Watch
	4.3	1.24
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.65	1.24	Watch
	3.8	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.84)	1.41 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alastair Gray
29.2%

Rei Sakamoto
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alastair Gray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alastair Gray - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Sakamoto (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gray is ranked ATP: 408. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 168.

In recent matches, Gray has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sakamoto is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sakamoto is a strong favorite.

We predict that Sakamoto will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Alastair Gray - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Alastair Gray - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Alastair Gray - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Johannus Monday - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Alastair Gray - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW

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