Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: New Delhi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Frederico Ferreira Silva		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.83	1.46
	2.61	1.43
	2.75	1.4
	2.62	1.43	Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.67)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederico Ferreira Silva
35.4%

Rei Sakamoto
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederico Ferreira Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frederico Ferreira Silva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rei Sakamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Frederico Ferreira Silva - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ferreira Silva is ranked ATP: 255. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 174.

Ferreira Silva is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sakamoto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferreira Silva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sakamoto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.34%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Ioannis Xilas - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Karan Singh - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
14.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL

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