Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 11 May 2023, Thursday


	Albert Ramos-Vinolas		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.8	2
	1.85	1.97
	1.89	2
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.82	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.07)	1.98 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albert Ramos-Vinolas
52%

Francesco Passaro
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albert Ramos-Vinolas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albert Ramos-Vinolas's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albert Ramos-Vinolas than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albert Ramos-Vinolas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	0%	31.8%

Albert Ramos Vinolas - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ramos-Vinolas will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Passaro will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ramos-Vinolas: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are in bad shape now.

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albert Ramos-Vinolas
ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Laurent Lokoli - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
26.04.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Emilio Gomez	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	Marco Cecchinato - Francesco Passaro	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Benoit Paire - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Fernando Verdasco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 L?LLW

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