Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CAGLIARI (ITALY), CLAY

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday


	Marco Cecchinato		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.26
	1.75	2.05
	1.73	2
	1.55	2.34	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)	2.12 (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Cecchinato
55.9%

Francesco Passaro
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Marco Cecchinato - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: Marco Cecchinato will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
27.04.23	Marton Fucsovics - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Marco Cecchinato - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Marco Cecchinato - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
17.04.23	Richard Gasquet - Marco Cecchinato	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWW?
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Benoit Paire - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Fernando Verdasco	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW

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